If the ANC vote dips under the 60 percent mark at next May’s elections, which is quite possible, and the party keeps losing support, it could end up losing the 2019 elections, right?

Sure, mathematically that would be true. A drop from 59 percent to 49 percent in five years is not a huge one.

But before the opposition parties start dreaming of moving into the Union Buildings, they should consider the rider: it will happen only if the ANC keeps losing electoral support.
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